EUR
The euro appreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.4150 level and was supported around the $1.4065 level. As expected, the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged with the refinancing rate steady at 4.00%. ECB President Trichet reiterated price risks remain to the upside and noted money and credit growth remains vigorous but conspicuously dropped “accommodative” to characterize the ECB’s current monetary policy stance. Moreover, Trichet noted there is growing uncertainty over eurozone growth prospects but predicted inflation will remain above 2.0% through early 2008. Trichet also referred to his remarks earlier in the week wherein he said U.S. policymakers have reiterated their strong U.S. dollar policy. Data released in the eurozone today saw August new orders for machinery and plant up 14% y/y. In U.S. news, all eyes are on tomorrow’s September non-farm payrolls report with most economists expecting that about 100,000 new jobs were created. Traders will also pay close attention to revisions for July’s and August’s jobs tallies. Data released in the U.S. today saw August headline factory orders fall 3.3% while the ex-transportation component was off 1.7% and the orders for non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft component was down 0.5%. Weekly initial jobless claims were up 16,000 to 317,000 while continuing jobless claims were off 10,000 to 2.541 million. Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.4055 levels.
Tags: EUR/USD
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JPY
The yen appreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the 116.25 level and was capped around the 116.75 level. The pair retraced some of its recent gains and continues to orbit the 116.40 level, representing the 38.2% retracement of the move from 124.15 to 111.60. Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Iwata reported “The impact of the US subprime mortgage problems on the Japanese financial system is limited at the moment. And our short-term financial markets are showing more stable movements compared with the US and European markets.” Iwata added “Persistent drops in share prices and a continued high yen would have a negative impact on the economy going forward, and we should watch out for it.” The Nikkei 225 stock index lost 0.62% to close at 17,092.49. Dollar bids are cited around the 114.80 level. The euro moved higher vis-a-vis the yen as the single currency tested offers around the ?164.90 level and was supported around the 163.90 level. The British pound and Swiss franc gained ground vis-a-vis the yen as the crosses tested offers around the 237.75 and 99.10 levels, respectively.
Tags: USD/JPY
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GBP
The British pound gained ground vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as cable tested offers around the US$ 2.0425 level and was supported around the $2.0275 level. As expected, Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee kept its headline repo rate unchanged at 5.75% and did not issue any policy statement. Minutes from today’s MPC meeting will be released on 17 October and traders will closely scrutinize the minutes to determine if any policymakers voted to reduce interest rates. Data released in the U.K. today saw Nationwide Q3 annual house price growth at 9.3%, down from 10.2% in Q2, while Halifax September house prices were off 0.6% m/m and up 10.7% y/y. Also, U.K. construction orders were off 8.0% q/q in the three months to August. Cable bids are cited around the US$ 2.0270 level. The euro lost ground vis-a-vis the British pound as the single currency tested bids around the 0.6910 level and was capped around the 0.6950 level.
Tags: GBP/USD
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CHF
The Swiss appreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested offers around the CHF 1.1815 level and was supported around the CHF 1.1735 level. Technically, today’s intraday high was just below the 38.2% retracement of the move from CHF 1.2145 to CHF 1.1620. Dollar offers are cited around the CHF 1.1885 level. The euro and British pound came off vis-a-vis the Swiss franc as the crosses tested bids around the CHF 1.6595 and CHF 2.3900 levels, respectively.
Tags: USD/CHF
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GMT: 14:03 |
London: 14:03 |
Tokyo: 22:03 |
Sydney: 23:03 |
New York: 09:03
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Recent articles:
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in GCI Forex Research
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Wednesday,
19 November 2008,
04:01 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
The euro moved marginally lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2570 level and was capped around the $1.2685 level. Traders are closely watching congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson today.
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Monday,
17 November 2008,
01:19 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap
The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested bids around the $1.2385 level and was capped around the $1.2925 level. The pair lost about 115 pips last week. The U.
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Sunday,
16 November 2008,
00:56 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2705 level and was capped around the $1.2825 level. Traders are wondering what news may emerge at this weekend’s Group of Twenty meeting in Washington, D.
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Thursday,
13 November 2008,
01:24 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2605 level and was supported around the $1.2475 level. The U.S. dollar went on a tear yesterday after NYMEX crude oil futures for December delivery fell below the $60 level per barrel.
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Wednesday,
12 November 2008,
01:34 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2675 level and was capped around the $1.2800 figure. Traders are deliberating the likelihood of additional monetary easing from both the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve before the end of the year and again in Q1 2009.
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Monday,
10 November 2008,
02:28 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap
The euro appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested offers around the $1.3115 level and was supported around the $1.2525 level. The pair gained about 15 pips last week.
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in other categories
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Tuesday,
18 November 2008,
06:29 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 18, 2008
GMT 06:07
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2577, 1.2532, 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2453, where correction also may be.
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Monday,
17 November 2008,
08:12 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 17, 2008
GMT 08:03
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
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Friday,
14 November 2008,
05:04 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 14, 2008
GMT 04:56
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2679 and 1.2642(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2624, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
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Thursday,
13 November 2008,
16:26 GMT
Press Releases
Learn To Trade Currencies This Fall
FXCM news
FXCM (http://www.fxcm.com?CMP=PR-TradeCurrencies)
joins CNBC.com for the second time as the exclusive currency trading sponsor in
the CNBC.com Million Dollar Portfolio Challenge.
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Thursday,
13 November 2008,
06:27 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 13, 2008
GMT 06:20
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2418(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2394, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2380.
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Wednesday,
12 November 2008,
07:25 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 12, 2008
GMT 07:21
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2540 and 1.2463 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2421, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
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