EUR/USD  1.2622 / 25 EUR/AUD  1.9512 / 16 AUD/USD  0.6467 / 71
USD/JPY  96.68 / 1 EUR/JPY  122.05 / 09 GBP/JPY  145.32 / 40
GBP/USD  1.5032 / 36 EUR/GBP  0.8396 / 00 USD/CAD  1.2403 / 08
USD/CHF  1.2052 / 57 EUR/CHF  1.5215 / 19 All forex charts and rates
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Friday,  19 October 2007,  01:00 GMT
GCI Forex Research
FX Research Desk
GCI Financial
Daily Recap and a day ahead
Daily Recap

  • EUR/USD new lifetime high; chartists eye $1.4350 target
  • Weber remains hawkish; Fed Beige Book saw slower growth
  • USD/JPY: Key 115.25 level tested; 50% of Sep-Oct range; JPY crosses unwind
  • Chinese Sept CPI blistering at 6.2% y/y; Q3 GDP near 11.5%
  • GBP/USD at 2.5-month high despite mortgage slowdown; Sept retail sales +ve
  • CHF strongly bid on risk aversion; Oct ZEW improves
  • AUD/USD tests key resistance at 0.8965; Kiwi tests key resistance at 0.7560
Day Ahead
  • G7 communique likely to spotlight CNY; EUR and JPY to be mentioned?
  •   Crude nearing $90.00 on risk premium and inventory draws
  • German PPI could pose upside EUR risk if hot
  • U.K. GDP may shake-off Q3 liquidity woes; 2.0610 a big level
  • USD/CHF eyeing 1.1620; chartists eye 1.1460 price objective
  • Canadian CPI on-deck; techs eye 0.9230 m/t target
  • Bernanke and Poole unlikely to yield major clues on FOMC policy

Schedule

all times GMT; (last release in parentheses)

2100 US European Central Bank President Trichet speaks
2350 Japan August all-industry activity index (-0.4% m/m)

Friday, 19 October 2007

0130 Australia Q3 import price index (0.1% q/q)
0130 Australia Q3 export price index (0.3% q/q)
0600 Germany September producer prices (0.1% m/m)
0600 Germany September producer prices (1.0% y/y)
0800 Italy August industrial orders (11.8% y/y)
0800 Italy August industrial sales (11.5% y/y)
0830 UK Q3 GDP (3.1% y/y)
0830 UK August index of services (1.0%)
1100 Canada September consumer price index, core (0.1% m/m)
1100 Canada September consumer price index, core (2.2% y/y)
1200 Spain European Central Bank member Gonzalez-Paramo speaks
1400 US Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke speaks
1400 US St. Louis Federal Reserve President Poole speaks


Chart to Watch
USD/JPY Today’s low tested 38.2% retracement (1) of 111.59-117.92 range. Move below opens up 114.76/ 114.55/ 113.08 with target of 107.95.
GMT:
13:53
London:
13:53
Tokyo:
21:53
Sydney:
22:53
New York:
08:53 


 Recent articles:
in GCI Forex Research
Wednesday,  19 November 2008,  04:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved marginally lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2570 level and was capped around the $1.2685 level. Traders are closely watching congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson today.
Monday,  17 November 2008,  01:19 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap

The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested bids around the $1.2385 level and was capped around the $1.2925 level. The pair lost about 115 pips last week. The U.
Sunday,  16 November 2008,  00:56 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2705 level and was capped around the $1.2825 level. Traders are wondering what news may emerge at this weekend’s Group of Twenty meeting in Washington, D.
Thursday,  13 November 2008,  01:24 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2605 level and was supported around the $1.2475 level. The U.S. dollar went on a tear yesterday after NYMEX crude oil futures for December delivery fell below the $60 level per barrel.
Wednesday,  12 November 2008,  01:34 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2675 level and was capped around the $1.2800 figure. Traders are deliberating the likelihood of additional monetary easing from both the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve before the end of the year and again in Q1 2009.
Monday,  10 November 2008,  02:28 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap

The euro appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested offers around the $1.3115 level and was supported around the $1.2525 level. The pair gained about 15 pips last week.

in other categories
Tuesday,  18 November 2008,  06:29 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 18, 2008 GMT  06:07 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2577, 1.2532, 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be.
Monday,  17 November 2008,  08:12 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 17, 2008 GMT  08:03 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Friday,  14 November 2008,  05:04 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 14, 2008 GMT  04:56 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2679 and 1.2642(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2624, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Thursday,  13 November 2008,  16:26 GMT
Press Releases
Learn To Trade Currencies This Fall
FXCM news

FXCM (http://www.fxcm.com?CMP=PR-TradeCurrencies) joins CNBC.com for the second time as the exclusive currency trading sponsor in the CNBC.com Million Dollar Portfolio Challenge.
Thursday,  13 November 2008,  06:27 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 13, 2008 GMT  06:20 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2418(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2394, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2380.
Wednesday,  12 November 2008,  07:25 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 12, 2008 GMT  07:21 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2540 and 1.2463 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2421, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.

 


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