EUR/USD  1.2636 / 39 EUR/AUD  1.9523 / 27 AUD/USD  0.6471 / 75
USD/JPY  96.72 / 5 EUR/JPY  122.23 / 27 GBP/JPY  145.53 / 61
GBP/USD  1.5047 / 51 EUR/GBP  0.8396 / 00 USD/CAD  1.2395 / 00
USD/CHF  1.2052 / 57 EUR/CHF  1.5233 / 37 All forex charts and rates
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Saturday,  20 October 2007,  16:05 GMT
GCI Forex Research
FX Research Desk
GCI Financial
Fundamental Outlook
EUR

The euro came off vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.4245 level and was capped around the $ 1.4320 level. Today’s intraday high represents a new lifetime high for the common currency. Traders drove the pair higher on expectations that today’s G7 communique will not make explicit reference to the euro’s relative strength. Countries like France and Italy are known to be critical of the euro’s recent strength while Germany and the U.S. appear more sanguine. The G7’s statement may instead refer to disorderly exchange rates and/ or Asian currency fundamentals. ECB’s Weber said high oil prices are an “upside risk” for inflation and a “downside risk” for economic growth while ECB’s Parama said the ECB cannot permit expectations of mid-term price rises. ECB chief Trichet characterized the global pace of economic growth as “fantastic.” G7 officials may also comment on the relatively high price of oil as crude prices approach the psychologically-important US$ 90.00 figure. Data released in the eurozone today saw September PPI was up 0.2% m/m and 1.5% y/y. In U.S. news, yesterday’s Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index fell to 6.8 in October from 10.9 in September but the prices paid and prices received sub-indices moved sharply higher. Fed Chairman Bernanke stressed central banks need to “strive for predictability and transparency” while Cleveland Fed’s Pianalto said the economy is “holding up” outside of housing. Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.4160/ 05 levels. Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.4160 level.

Tags: EUR/USD

JPY

The yen appreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the 114.85 level and was capped around the 115.70 level. Technically, today’s intraday low was just above the 61.8% retracement of the move from 109.00 to 124.15. Finance minister Nukaga said “there certainly will be debates over foreign-exchange developments” at today’s G7 meeting. Most traders believe the G7 will call for more Chinese economic reform and are curious to see if the yen’s relative weakness and/ or carry trades are mentioned in the G7’s communique. BoJ boss Fukui sees possible sub-par U.S. growth “for the time being” and many traders believe the BoJ will delay its next rate hike for several months. Data released in Japan overnight saw the all-industries index rise 1.0% in August. The Nikkei 225 stock index lost 1.71% to close at 16,814.37. Dollar bids are cited around the 113.85 level. The euro depreciated vis-a-vis the yen as the single currency tested bids around the ?163.70 level and was capped around the 165.25 level. The British pound and Swiss franc moved lower vis-a-vis the yen as the crosses tested bids around the 234.80 and ?97.95 levels, respectively. The Chinese yuan appreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar as the greenback closed at CNY 7.5080 in the over-the-counter market, down from CNY 7.5111.

Tags: USD/JPY

GBP

The British strengthened vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as cable tested offers around the US$ 2.0525 level and was supported around the $2.0405 level. Technically, today’s intraday low was right around the 76.4% retracement of the move from $2.0655 to $1.9650. Cable was higher on preliminary Q3 U.K. GDP data that saw a quarterly growth rate of 0.8%, the fourth consecutive quarter with that growth rate and the seventh in a row it’s been above the trend growth rate of 0.6% to 0.7%. Cable bids are cited around the US$ 2.0420/ 2.0350 levels. The euro moved lower vis-a-vis the British pound as the single currency tested bids around the 0.6960 level and was capped around the 0.7000 figure.

Tags: GBP/USD

CHF

The Swiss franc depreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested offers around the CHF 1.1735 level and was supported around the CHF 1.1655 level. Dollar offers are cited around the CHF 1.1750 level. The euro came off vis-a-vis the Swiss franc as the single currency tested bids around the CHF 1.6685 level while the British pound gained ground vis-a-vis the Swiss franc and tested offers around the CHF 2.4015 level.

Tags: USD/CHF

AUD, NZD

The Australian dollar weakened vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the Aussie tested bids around the US$ 0.8890 level and was capped around the US$ 0.8995 level. Data released in Australia today saw the Q3 import price index fall 0.8% q/q. Australian dollar bids are cited around the US$ 0.8840 level. The New Zealand dollar came off vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the kiwi tested bids around the US$ 0.7430 level and was capped around the $0.7555 level. New Zealand dollar bids are cited around the US$ 0.7420 level.

Tags: AUD/USD   NZD/USD

CAD

The Canadian dollar appreciated vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the C$ 0.9630 level and was capped around the C$ 0.9755 level. Data released in Canada today saw the September consumer price index accelerate to +2.5% y/y from +1.7% y/y, its highest reading since May 2006. Bank of Canada’s Monetary Policy Report was released yesterday and predicted economic growth will decelerate this quarter with headline consumer prices peaking around 3%. U.S. dollar offers are cited around the C$ 0.9810/ 60 levels.

Tags: USD/CAD

GMT:
14:04
London:
14:04
Tokyo:
22:04
Sydney:
23:04
New York:
09:04 


 Recent articles:
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Wednesday,  19 November 2008,  04:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved marginally lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2570 level and was capped around the $1.2685 level. Traders are closely watching congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson today.
Monday,  17 November 2008,  01:19 GMT
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Sunday,  16 November 2008,  00:56 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

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Thursday,  13 November 2008,  01:24 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
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Wednesday,  12 November 2008,  01:34 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
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The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2675 level and was capped around the $1.2800 figure. Traders are deliberating the likelihood of additional monetary easing from both the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve before the end of the year and again in Q1 2009.
Monday,  10 November 2008,  02:28 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap

The euro appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested offers around the $1.3115 level and was supported around the $1.2525 level. The pair gained about 15 pips last week.

in other categories
Tuesday,  18 November 2008,  06:29 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 18, 2008 GMT  06:07 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2577, 1.2532, 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be.
Monday,  17 November 2008,  08:12 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 17, 2008 GMT  08:03 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Friday,  14 November 2008,  05:04 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 14, 2008 GMT  04:56 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2679 and 1.2642(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2624, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Thursday,  13 November 2008,  16:26 GMT
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Thursday,  13 November 2008,  06:27 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 13, 2008 GMT  06:20 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2418(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2394, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2380.
Wednesday,  12 November 2008,  07:25 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 12, 2008 GMT  07:21 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2540 and 1.2463 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2421, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.

 


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