Drazen, your Expert Advisor is now stably advancing. Let’s
speak about it. You write in your EA description that the first
condition for opening a trade is time. What time is meant?
Well, my EA is based on two main principles. The first principle is
time. Time principle means fixed trade duration and a trade direction
dependent on the current active session. The second principle is based
on chart patterns, price volatility, oversold/overbought market
conditions, etc.
Your approach of checking the market 6 times a day is quite interesting. Could you tell us what this method results in?
It results in good correlation between forward and backward testing
results, and it plays an important role in reducing the maximal
drawdown.
What was the maximal drawdown at testing?
The maximal drawdown was around 240 pips I think. It’s over the period from 01.01.2001 to 06.01.2007.
What method to manage the trade size do you use?
Concerning lot size calculation and money-management, my method is a
little different from the standard money-management methods, in which
you risk a certain percentage of your account balance in every trade.
My lot size calculation is simple, based on leverage –
AccountBalance()*Leverage/100K. For the Automated Trading Championship
2007 I use an aggressive money-management. So the leverage value is 35.
It is floating in your contesting EA. Do you use this method in your real trading?
Yes, sometimes I do. But I am a discretionary trader, so I also change
my money-management methods according to market conditions.
You use an aggressive money-management strategy in the Championship. What about real trading?
This is too aggressive for the real trading. My leverage in real
trading does not exceed 1:15. But it was different at the beginning of
my trading career. When I started trading currency, it was an extremely
daunting task for me, because I had no experience in this filed and I
was aware of the fact that 95% of traders lost money in the Forex
market. Like every other beginner, I went through characteristic
learning cycle in my trading journey.
At the beginning, I took lots of trades and lots of risks with no
proper money-management at all. When I started trading, only two weeks
passed before my entire account was wiped out. Over the next two and a
half years of trading this happened eight times more. During this time
I constantly changed trading methods never sticking to one long enough
to actually see if it does work. Fortunately, that time has passed and
today my trading style is completely different.
Money management is one of the most important criteria for
successful trading. What is an effective money-management technique, in
your opinion?
Well...setting the maximum amount of capital that you’re pleased to
lose on any one trade is definitely the first step towards effective
money-management. There’s no doubt that weak money-management can be
your worst enemy when trading. According to the statistics, the
majority of traders lose money.
On the other hand, if you trade with the system where all your
trades have equal risk and profit opportunities, all your trades have a
50/50 chance of winning. So, theoretically every trader starts with the
50% chance (little less because of the spread) of wining, but still 95%
of traders lose money. This is because of weak money management.
Some of your positions are not closed by stop orders. What closing mechanisms do you use?
I use fixed StopLoss and TakeProfit levels. For high volatility
sessions (European and U.S.) StopLoss is placed at the level of 31, 34,
40 and 46 points and TP at the level of 61, 99, 150, 160 points. For
the low volatility periods (prior to and the Asian session) SL is
placed at the level of 49 and 54 points and TP at the level of 20 and
42 points. These are the distances that give the best results according
to the long-term backward test (from 2001).
If StopLoss or TakeProfit orders are not activated, trade duration
is always fixed regardless of market conditions. Trade opened at 8:00
or 11:00 (GMT) will be closed at 12:55. Trade opened at 13:00 or 15:00
will be closed at 22:55(20:55 at Friday). And finally, trade opened at
23:00 will be closed at 02:55 and trade opened at 03:00 will be closed
at 7:55. We have 24 hour cycle – Short/Long trade exited – Long/Short
trade opened. So, my closing mechanisms are based on time.
Read More: http://championship.mql4.com/2007/news/256