EUR/USD  1.4209 / 12 EUR/AUD  1.7329 / 33 AUD/USD  0.8199 / 03
USD/JPY  108.81 / 84 EUR/JPY  154.61 / 65 GBP/JPY  191.67 / 75
GBP/USD  1.7615 / 19 EUR/GBP  0.8064 / 68 USD/CAD  1.0639 / 44
USD/CHF  1.1292 / 97 EUR/CHF  1.6048 / 52 All forex charts and rates
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Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Saturday,  12 July 2008,  11:03 GMT
GCI Forex Research
FX Research Desk
GCI Financial
Fundamental Outlook
EUR

The euro appreciated sharply vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.5945 level and was supported around the $1.5765 level. The common currency is within striking distance of testing its all-time high around the $1.6020 level, established on 22 April. A rebound in prices for NYMEX crude oil futures for August delivery to the $147 handle pushed the dollar lower as did a further meltdown in U.S. equity prices. Shares in mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac deteriorated further as investors waited to see if these government sponsored enterprises would be bailed out by the government or Federal Reserve. Data released in the U.S. today saw June import prices up 2.6% m/m and 20.5% y/y. It was also reported that the May trade balance was off 1.2% to –US$ 59.8 billion from April’s -$60.5 billion gap. Additionally, the University of Michigan’s mid-July consumer sentiment index printed at 56.6, up from 56.4 in June. Fed Chairman Bernanke testifies to the U.S. Senate on Tuesday and House of Representatives on Wednesday. In eurozone news, German June wholesale prices were up 0.9% m/m and 8.9% y/y. One source is reporting German Q2 GDP may have fallen 0.75% to +1.5% q/q. Euro bids are cited around the $1.5645/ $1.5230 levels.

Tags: EUR/USD

JPY

The yen appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the ¥105.65 level and was capped around the ¥107.30 level. Technically, today’s intraday low was right around the 76.4% retracement of the move from ¥108.60 to ¥95.70. Bank of Japan’s Policy Board is not expected to change monetary policy when it convenes on Monday. The central bank is expected to warn of a greater downside risk to the Japanese economy on account of elevated energy and input costs. Data released in Japan overnight saw revised May industrial output up 2.8% m/m. Also, consumer confidence fell to a record low in June at 32.6. The Nikkei reported the government will keep its economic assessment unchanged in July for the fifth consecutive month. MoF’s Shinohara reported the U.S.’s FX policies remain unchanged since the Group of Seven meeting in April. The Nikkei 225 stock index lost 0.21% to close at ¥13,039.69. Dollar bids are cited around the ¥104.95/ ¥103.65 levels. The euro weakened vis-à-vis the yen as the single currency tested bids around the ¥168.10 level and was capped around the ¥169.35 level. The British pound and Swiss franc depreciated vis-à-vis the yen as the crosses tested bids around the ¥210.20 and ¥103.85 levels, respectively. The Chinese yuan appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar as the greenback closed at CNY 6.8340 level in the over-the-counter market, down from CNY 6.8428 – the pair’s lowest close since the yuan revaluation of July 2005.

Tags: USD/JPY

GBP

The British pound depreciated moved sharply higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as cable tested offers around the US$ 1.9960 level and was supported around the $1.9750 level. Technically, today’s intraday low was right around the 38.2% retracement of the move from $2.0395 to $1.9360. The U.K. media is reporting some large U.K. banks are lobbying Bank of England to extend its Special Liquidity Scheme to enhance liquidity to the money markets. Cable bids are cited around the US$ 1.9360/ 1.9100 levels. The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the British pound as the single currency tested offers around the ₤0.8000 figure and was supported around the ₤0.7975 level.

Tags: GBP/USD

CHF

The Swiss franc appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the CHF 1.0135 level and was capped around the CHF 1.0300 figure. Technically, today’s intraday low was right around the 50.0% retracement of the move from CHF 0.9645 to CHF 1.0625. U.S. dollar offers are cited around the CHF 1.0395 level. The euro and British pound came off vis-à-vis the Swiss franc as the crosses tested bids around the CHF 1.6160 and CHF 2.0215 levels, respectively.

Tags: USD/CHF

GMT:
12:42
London:
13:42
Tokyo:
21:42
Sydney:
22:42
New York:
08:42 


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Monday,  08 September 2008,  00:05 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap, week ahed

The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested bids around the $1.4195 level and was capped around the $1.4720 level. The pair lost about 410 pips last week. Gustav’s weakening pushed crude oil and the euro lower.
Friday,  05 September 2008,  01:15 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
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The euro extended recent losses vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.4325 level and was capped around the $1.4545 level. Stops were reached below the $1.
Thursday,  04 September 2008,  00:28 GMT
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The euro extended recent losses vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.4465 level and was capped around the $1.4615 level. The common currency reached its lowest level since early February as traders reacted to a further pullback in oil prices.
Wednesday,  03 September 2008,  13:46 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
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Tuesday,  02 September 2008,  01:38 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
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The euro weakened vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.4595 level and was capped around the $1.4720 level. Technically, today’s intraday high was right around the 76.
Monday,  01 September 2008,  01:50 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap, week ahed

The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested bids around the $1.4570 level and was capped around the $1.4805 level. The pair lost about 90 pips last week. The FDIC warned some banks may fail and public funds may need to be borrowed.

in other categories
Monday,  08 September 2008,  02:42 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

September 08, 2008 GMT  02:35 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.4363 and 1.4298 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.4274, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Friday,  05 September 2008,  08:42 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

September 05, 2008 GMT  08:35 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.4223, 1.4197 and 1.4152 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.4130, where correction also may be.
Thursday,  04 September 2008,  02:08 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

September 04, 2008 GMT  02:01 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.4446 and 1.4418 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.4402, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Wednesday,  03 September 2008,  02:42 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

September 03, 2008 GMT  02:36 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.4446 and 1.4418 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.4402, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Tuesday,  02 September 2008,  04:40 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

September 02, 2008 GMT  04:33 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.4545, 1.4524 and 1.4501 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.4478, where correction also may be.
Friday,  29 August 2008,  04:03 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

August 29, 2008 GMT  04:50 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.4670, 1.4647, 1.4625 and 1.4600 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.4584, where correction also may be.

 


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