EUR/USD
After failing to break and close above 1.49 there has been a significant drop to 1.4760.
This was due to the huge drop in oil and continued strength in the dollar.
We created a couple of trendlines from today’s drop has built a little channel.
Now that this has happened there looks to be some more bearish pressure for the Euro.
The Euro zone economy is very focused on inflation and rates don’t look to be coming down any time soon.
The Dollar still has some more room to grow here though.
There is still the possibility that if 1.47 is broken to the downside then 1.45xx could be achieved, even as far as 1.4350.
On the other hand, if support is found at the current level of 1.4760 then another push to test 1.49xx-50 could be in the near future.
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One more Euro chart. This is very long term and could spell out the future of the pair.
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GBP/USD
More bullish failures here too!
Today’s bear move was quite large, 260+ pips to be exact.
The failure to close above 1.8785 translated to a push down to 1.8500.
It looks as though the bear is in control moving into next week and the next level is 1.8300. There is so much bearish pressure for this pair it is hard to call a bull target or resistance at this time.
Today’s chart is the monthly time frame and shows the gigantic candle that has been created and the potential next fib level from the 7 year Bull Run.
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USD/JPY
Today’s bull move on the yen was also impressive.
108.30 have proven to be a strong support zone as it was proven as a strong resistance zone in the past. The failure to close below there took the price back up to 110 with more bullish strength to possibly come.
This kind of move makes a strong case to see the price target of 113.35 to be accomplished.
The start of next week is dominated with news from the real estate market, which is probably already priced in.
We’ll see; should be exciting.
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GMT: 13:58 |
London: 13:58 |
Tokyo: 21:58 |
Sydney: 22:58 |
New York: 08:58
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Recent articles:
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in Fast Analysis
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Wednesday,
10 September 2008,
00:00 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
A Light at the End of the Tunnel?
Windows were padlocked on Wall Street this weekend as market composites logged their worst weekly losses since the beginning of the year. Unemployment numbers came in uncomfortably higher than expected, sending markets into a freefall Thursday afternoon.
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Thursday,
28 August 2008,
21:36 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Market Commentary / Analysis for August 28th 2008
Low volume day today!
Support from the current level of 1.4704 is seen at 1.4630 and resistance is today’s high at the 1.4800 zone.
If support is broken we could see 1.4450-1.
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Wednesday,
27 August 2008,
21:08 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Market Commentary / Analysis for August 27th 2008
After making a new 6 month low this week price retreated to find resistance around 1.4750 and touching the 61.8% retracement at 1.4775.
Based on trading through the rule of Fibonacci the bearish price target is around 1.
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Tuesday,
26 August 2008,
20:45 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Market Commentary / Analysis for August 26th 2008
In yesterday’s commentary we discussed the Euro falling to 1.4600 and below that there could be sharp reactions back to the upside, especially at 1.4500.
During the full trading day the Euro fell 180+ pips creating fresh 6 month lows then reports of a Hurricane took over driving Oil up by $5 – which drives down the buck.
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Monday,
25 August 2008,
22:20 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Market Commentary / Analysis for August 25th 2008
Happy Monday!
Welcome to the beginning of the trading week.
Last week’s movements created a short term trendline that was broken today and then came back up to it to find resistance.
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Thursday,
21 August 2008,
22:17 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Market Commentary / Analysis for August 21th 2008
Tomorrow is Bernanke day!!! His words could move markets bigtime tomorrow.
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in other categories
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Wednesday,
19 November 2008,
04:01 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
GCI Forex Research
The euro moved marginally lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2570 level and was capped around the $1.2685 level. Traders are closely watching congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson today.
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Tuesday,
18 November 2008,
06:29 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 18, 2008
GMT 06:07
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2577, 1.2532, 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2453, where correction also may be.
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Monday,
17 November 2008,
08:12 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 17, 2008
GMT 08:03
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
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Monday,
17 November 2008,
01:19 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap
GCI Forex Research
The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested bids around the $1.2385 level and was capped around the $1.2925 level. The pair lost about 115 pips last week. The U.
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Sunday,
16 November 2008,
00:56 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
GCI Forex Research
The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2705 level and was capped around the $1.2825 level. Traders are wondering what news may emerge at this weekend’s Group of Twenty meeting in Washington, D.
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Friday,
14 November 2008,
05:04 GMT
Research
>
Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading
November 14, 2008
GMT 04:56
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2679 and 1.2642(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2624, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
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