EUR/USD  1.2587 / 90 EUR/AUD  1.9903 / 07 AUD/USD  0.6324 / 28
USD/JPY  95.96 / 9 EUR/JPY  120.73 / 77 GBP/JPY  143.18 / 26
GBP/USD  1.4924 / 28 EUR/GBP  0.8435 / 39 USD/CAD  1.2676 / 81
USD/CHF  1.2227 / 32 EUR/CHF  1.5391 / 95 All forex charts and rates
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Friday,  03 October 2008,  03:25 GMT
GCI Forex Research
FX Research Desk
GCI Financial
Fundamental Outlook
EUR

The euro fell sharply vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.3745 level and was capped around the $1.4030 level. The common currency reached its lowest level since September 2007 as traders reacted to news that the U.S. Senate approved a US$ 700 billion to bail out the troubled U.S. financial system. A similar vote could come in the U.S. House of Representatives tonight or tomorrow. European Union officials rejected talk of an EU bailout plan saying there was no need for one. Several EU leaders will convene in Paris on Saturday. Data released in the U.S. today saw August factory orders fall 4%m the sharpest contraction since October 2006, while the ex-transportation component was off 3.3% and non-defense, ex-aircraft capital orders were off 2.4%. Other data saw weekly initial jobless claims rise 1,000 to 497,000 while continuing jobless claims rose 48,000 to 3.591 million. U.S. interest rates futures are discounting about a 70% chance the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 50bps later this month. The Wall Street Journal reported Fed officials are contemplating a rate cut even if the bailout package passes Congress. As expected, the European Central Bank kept its main refinancing rate target unchanged at 4.25% today but many dealers believe the ECB will soon lower rates. Trichet reported inflation pressures have lessened but remain an economic threat. Data released in the eurozone today saw EMU-15 August producer price inflation moderate. Three-month interbank rates hit a yearly high at 5.355% today, evidencing the ongoing strains in the money market. Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.3320 level.

Tags: EUR/USD

JPY

The yen appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the ¥105.10 level and was capped around the ¥106.30 level. Data released in Japan overnight saw the September monetary base climb 0.9% y/y. Prime Minister Aso said the government will work closely with Bank of Japan to maintain financial stability. The Nikkei 225 stock index lost 1.88% to close at ¥11,154.76. U.S. dollar bids are cited around the ¥102.45 level. The euro came off vis-à-vis the yen as the single currency tested bids around the ¥144.85 level and was capped around the ¥148.70 level. The British pound and Swiss franc moved lower vis-à-vis the yen as the crosses tested bids around the ¥184.80 and ¥92.30 levels, respectively.

Tags: USD/JPY

GBP

The British pound came off vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as cable tested bids around the US$ 1.7550 level and was capped around the $1.7725 level. Data released in the U.K. today saw Nationwide house prices register their largest decline in seventeen years, off 1.7% m/m in September. Bank of England’s quarterly credit conditions survey worsened again in Q3 and confirmed that British banks are likely to tighten credit to households and businesses further. Also, the September U.K. construction sector shrank and ISD pay deals rose in the three months to August. Cable bids are cited around the $1.7420 level. The euro slumped vis-à-vis the British pound as the single currency tested bids around the ₤0.7825 level and was capped around the ₤0.7920 level.

Tags: GBP/USD

GMT:
20:51
London:
20:51
Tokyo:
04:51
Sydney:
05:51
New York:
15:51 


 Recent articles:
in GCI Forex Research
Friday,  21 November 2008,  03:41 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2585 level and was supported around the $1.2470 level. The common currency gained ground on a variety of factors.
Thursday,  20 November 2008,  01:30 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2770 level and was supported around the $1.2590 level. The common currency moved to intraday highs during the early North American session as traders braced for more potential selling pressure in U.
Wednesday,  19 November 2008,  04:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved marginally lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2570 level and was capped around the $1.2685 level. Traders are closely watching congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson today.
Monday,  17 November 2008,  01:19 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
Weekly market recap

The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar last week as the single currency tested bids around the $1.2385 level and was capped around the $1.2925 level. The pair lost about 115 pips last week. The U.
Sunday,  16 November 2008,  00:56 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2705 level and was capped around the $1.2825 level. Traders are wondering what news may emerge at this weekend’s Group of Twenty meeting in Washington, D.
Thursday,  13 November 2008,  01:24 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook

The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2605 level and was supported around the $1.2475 level. The U.S. dollar went on a tear yesterday after NYMEX crude oil futures for December delivery fell below the $60 level per barrel.

in other categories
Friday,  21 November 2008,  06:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 21, 2008 GMT  06:54 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2405(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2377, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2351.
Thursday,  20 November 2008,  08:00 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 20, 2008 GMT  07:52 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2465(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2428.
Tuesday,  18 November 2008,  06:29 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 18, 2008 GMT  06:07 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2577, 1.2532, 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be.
Monday,  17 November 2008,  08:12 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 17, 2008 GMT  08:03 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Friday,  14 November 2008,  05:04 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 14, 2008 GMT  04:56 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2679 and 1.2642(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2624, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.
Thursday,  13 November 2008,  16:26 GMT
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