EUR/USD  1.2587 / 90 EUR/AUD  1.9903 / 07 AUD/USD  0.6324 / 28
USD/JPY  95.96 / 9 EUR/JPY  120.73 / 77 GBP/JPY  143.18 / 26
GBP/USD  1.4924 / 28 EUR/GBP  0.8435 / 39 USD/CAD  1.2676 / 81
USD/CHF  1.2227 / 32 EUR/CHF  1.5391 / 95 All forex charts and rates
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Monday,  10 September 2007,  11:42 GMT
Forexyard Daily Forex research

Source:  http://www.forexyard.com/market-analysis/
Forexyard Daily / Economic News
USD

The USD dropped massively on Friday upon the release of the US Job's report, and in particular because of the extremely negative -4K figure of the Change in Nonfarm Payrolls.

As could be easily predicted, investors and economists did not try to speculate or change their trading strategy on the present USD trend and continued to massively short the USD. The previous release was 68K, as the market expected 110K.

Today, there is no market moving news expected to come from the US, as the only release will be US Consumer Credit which is expected to go down from 13.2B to 8.8B, and will probably not cause a major price movement in the USD.

The U.S. economic development is in serious difficulty. The mortgage industry's decline donated to the net loss of 4,000 U.S. jobs in August and it was the first negative payroll report in four years. As it seems the housing market could sink the country into a full-blown recession. Next week's economic reports include Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence; many economists estimate the U.S. economy's trend will not make any dramatic correction in the short run.

Tags: USD

EUR

On Friday, the EUR broke the 1.3750 resistance level after the publication of the weak US economic data. As it seems at the moment, by many economists and major banks, the EUR is running ahead towards the next 1.3900 resistance level. On the basis of the last consecutive pessimistic news from the US economy, many traders have began to favor the 13 nation currency and little by little have begun to neglect and push aside the American Dollar. The European Central Bank is expected to keep interest rates on hold for the remainder of the year, but still we should see the beginning of positive momentum in the Euro zone economic condition. The ECB is going to release several important notifications in the following few weeks and decisions will depend on how the economy coped with the latest market turmoil.

As for today, the only major release that is expected to come from Europe will be the UK PPI Input and Output; both are expected at 8:30 GMT. The input is expected to rise from -5% to -3% and the output is expected to remain unchanged at 0.2%. Both figures are expected to push the GBP up a bit if indeed the figures will be released inline with expectations.

Tags: EUR/USD

JPY

Friday's US Jobs report took the USD down all across the board, and the JPY was no exception as we saw the USD/JPY touch 112.80 and the EUR/JPY 155.40. There is a distinct sentiment from traders to get away from carry trades, and the unwinding continues with no clear end on the horizon. The negative USD sentiment is now stronger than any interest rate trading potential. If the Feds will indeed cut the rates as expected, the carry trades will probably take even longer to come back.

As for today, Core Machinery Orders is expected to be release tonight at 23:50 GMT with expectations standing on 5.2% which is a massive increase from last month's -10.4% and might generate JPY appreciation on top of the strengthen trend already in motion.

Tags: USD/JPY

GMT:
20:25
London:
20:25
Tokyo:
04:25
Sydney:
05:25
New York:
15:25 


 Recent articles:
in Forexyard Daily Forex research
Tuesday,  29 April 2008,  10:02 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
29/04/'08 - U.S. Consumer Confidence On Tap

Yesterday the greenback showed off a bullish trend against its major currency rivals. It went through a bullish volatile session vs. the EUR, yet it lost strength against the GBP and the JPY.
Monday,  28 April 2008,  15:14 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
28/04/'08 - USD Gaining Power

Last Friday, the greenback kept up its sharp bullish momentum against most of its major rivals. The USD gained as a result of favorable economic data, which was released from the US during the last week, combined with disappointing indicators released from the Euro-zone.
Thursday,  24 April 2008,  09:47 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
24/04/'08 - USD Saga Continues.

Yesterday, the Greenback spent most of the trading day with bullish momentum against the majority of its currency pairs and crosses. The USD gained almost 0.9% and closed trading around 1.5850 vs. the EUR after it previously dropped to 1.
Wednesday,  23 April 2008,  15:45 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
23/04/'08 - The USD Reaches All Time Low

The U.S. economy is facing fresh difficulties that will probably further dampen the national currency. Yesterday, the greenback tumbled to fresh lows trading as low as 1.6022 vs. the EUR after the European Central Bank policy makers signaled they may raise Interest Rates due to.
Wednesday,  16 April 2008,  14:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
16/04/'08 - US Core CPI

Yesterday, the Greenback spent most of the trading day with bullish momentum against the majority of its currency pairs and crosses on the back of surprisingly strong U.S inflation and manufacturing data releases.
Monday,  14 April 2008,  14:35 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Technical research
14/04/'08 - U.S. Retail Sales On Tap.

Last week we saw the return of significant volatility to the Forex market. Amidst fears of Recession in the US, due to the housing and credit crisis as well as poor labor numbers, investors once again became weary of the dollar.

in other categories
Friday,  21 November 2008,  06:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 21, 2008 GMT  06:54 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2405(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2377, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2351.
Friday,  21 November 2008,  03:41 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
GCI Forex Research

The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2585 level and was supported around the $1.2470 level. The common currency gained ground on a variety of factors.
Thursday,  20 November 2008,  08:00 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 20, 2008 GMT  07:52 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2465(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2428.
Thursday,  20 November 2008,  01:30 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
GCI Forex Research

The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.2770 level and was supported around the $1.2590 level. The common currency moved to intraday highs during the early North American session as traders braced for more potential selling pressure in U.
Wednesday,  19 November 2008,  04:01 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Fundamental research
Fundamental Outlook
GCI Forex Research

The euro moved marginally lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2570 level and was capped around the $1.2685 level. Traders are closely watching congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson today.
Tuesday,  18 November 2008,  06:29 GMT
Research  >  Forex - Trading signals, forecasts and strategy
Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels
Technical Trading

November 18, 2008 GMT  06:07 EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.2577, 1.2532, 1.2490 and 1.2476(main), where correction is possible. Break would give  1.2453, where correction also may be.

 


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